Thursday, August 12, 2010

The Gillard Factor

Questions are being asked in the corridors of bean counters: Can Julia Gillard deliver the ALP in Victoria an extra 0.3% increasing the ALP primary vote in the Senate from 41.7% to 42.0%?

If the Greens increase their support from 10% to 14% and the Liberal Party falls below 38% then there is a possibility that the Liberal Party will only secure two Senate seats, ALP three and the Greens one. This is dependent on the ALP securing three quotas in its own right as the ALP and the Liberal/National party falling below 38%.

Early polling undertaken in July by Morgan research had shown this as a outside possibility but with a 2.0% marigin of error this outcome is unlikely. At best the ALP can expect to hang on to the vote it received in 2007 but will still fail to elect three Senators due to a flaw in the way the Senate vote is counted which will deliver a bonus 7,000 votes to the Greens. The Liberal party will pickup votes from One nation. DLP and Family First.  Family First, Steve Fielding, coming in at 8th will not win a second term.

Antony Greens Calualator

Elected Candidates


Candidate Party
1 Kim John CARR Australian Labor Party
2 Michael RONALDSON Liberal Party
3 Stephen Michael CONROY Australian Labor Party
4 Bridget McKENZIE The Nationals
5 Richard DI NATALE Australian Greens
6 Antony THOW Australian Labor Party

Detailed Results

  • Quota: 456,093 votes

Count 1: Initial allocation

Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
0
1,340,918 42.00%
2.9400
Liberal/National
0
1,165,640 36.51%
2.5557
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Family First
0
83,009 2.60%
0.1820
Australian Democrats
0
52,678 1.65%
0.1154
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
32,884 1.03%
0.0720
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
Australian Sex Party
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
The Climate Sceptics
0
638 0.02%
0.0013
Secular Party of Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006
Building Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006

Count 2: Kim John CARR (Australian Labor Party) elected #1

Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Liberal/National
0
1,165,640 36.51%
2.5557
Australian Labor Party
-456,093
884,825 27.71%
1.9400
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Family First
0
83,009 2.60%
0.1820
Australian Democrats
0
52,678 1.65%
0.1154
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
32,884 1.03%
0.0720
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
Australian Sex Party
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
The Climate Sceptics
0
638 0.02%
0.0013
Secular Party of Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006
Building Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006

Count 3: Michael RONALDSON (Liberal/National) elected #2

Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
0
884,825 27.71%
1.9400
Liberal/National
-456,093
709,547 22.22%
1.5557
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Family First
0
83,009 2.60%
0.1820
Australian Democrats
0
52,678 1.65%
0.1154
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
32,884 1.03%
0.0720
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
Australian Sex Party
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
The Climate Sceptics
0
638 0.02%
0.0013
Secular Party of Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006
Building Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006

Count 4: Stephen Michael CONROY (Australian Labor Party) elected #3

Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Liberal/National
0
709,547 22.22%
1.5557
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Australian Labor Party
-456,093
428,732 13.43%
0.9400
Family First
0
83,009 2.60%
0.1820
Australian Democrats
0
52,678 1.65%
0.1154
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
32,884 1.03%
0.0720
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
Australian Sex Party
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
The Climate Sceptics
0
638 0.02%
0.0013
Secular Party of Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006
Building Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006

Count 5: Bridget McKENZIE (Liberal/National) elected #4

Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Australian Labor Party
0
428,732 13.43%
0.9400
Liberal/National
-456,093
253,454 7.94%
0.5557
Family First
0
83,009 2.60%
0.1820
Australian Democrats
0
52,678 1.65%
0.1154
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
32,884 1.03%
0.0720
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
Australian Sex Party
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
The Climate Sceptics
0
638 0.02%
0.0013
Secular Party of Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006
Building Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006

Count 6: Darren EVANS (Building Australia) excluded

  • 319 (0.01%) votes originally from Building Australia distributed to Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia (John MADIGAN) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Australian Labor Party
0
428,732 13.43%
0.9400
Liberal/National
0
253,454 7.94%
0.5557
Family First
0
83,009 2.60%
0.1820
Australian Democrats
0
52,678 1.65%
0.1154
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
+319
33,203 1.04%
0.0727
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
Australian Sex Party
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
The Climate Sceptics
0
638 0.02%
0.0013
Secular Party of Australia
0
319 0.01%
0.0006

Count 7: John Leslie PERKINS (Secular Party of Australia) excluded

  • 319 (0.01%) votes originally from Secular Party of Australia distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Australian Labor Party
0
428,732 13.43%
0.9400
Liberal/National
0
253,454 7.94%
0.5557
Family First
0
83,009 2.60%
0.1820
Australian Democrats
+319
52,997 1.66%
0.1161
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
33,203 1.04%
0.0727
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
Australian Sex Party
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
The Climate Sceptics
0
638 0.02%
0.0013

Count 8: Chris DAWSON (The Climate Sceptics) excluded

  • 638 (0.02%) votes originally from The Climate Sceptics distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Australian Labor Party
0
428,732 13.43%
0.9400
Liberal/National
0
253,454 7.94%
0.5557
Family First
+638
83,647 2.62%
0.1833
Australian Democrats
0
52,997 1.66%
0.1161
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
33,203 1.04%
0.0727
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034
Australian Sex Party
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034

Count 9: Fiona PATTEN (Australian Sex Party) excluded

  • 1,596 (0.05%) votes originally from Australian Sex Party distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 6.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Australian Labor Party
0
428,732 13.43%
0.9400
Liberal/National
0
253,454 7.94%
0.5557
Family First
0
83,647 2.62%
0.1833
Australian Democrats
+1,596
54,593 1.71%
0.1196
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
33,203 1.04%
0.0727
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055
Citizens Electoral Council
0
1,596 0.05%
0.0034

Count 10: Doug MITCHELL (Citizens Electoral Council) excluded

  • 1,596 (0.05%) votes originally from Citizens Electoral Council distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
446,972 14.00%
0.9800
Australian Labor Party
0
428,732 13.43%
0.9400
Liberal/National
0
253,454 7.94%
0.5557
Family First
+1,596
85,243 2.67%
0.1868
Australian Democrats
0
54,593 1.71%
0.1196
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
33,203 1.04%
0.0727
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055
Socialist Equality Party
0
2,553 0.08%
0.0055

Count 11: Patrick O'CONNOR (Socialist Equality Party) excluded

  • 851 (0.03%) votes originally from Socialist Equality Party (Ticket 1 of 3) distributed to Liberal/National (Julian McGAURAN) via preference 5.
  • 851 (0.03%) votes originally from Socialist Equality Party (Ticket 2 of 3) distributed to Australian Greens (Richard DI NATALE) via preference 3.
  • 851 (0.03%) votes originally from Socialist Equality Party (Ticket 3 of 3) distributed to Australian Labor Party (Antony THOW) via preference 5.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
+851
447,823 14.03%
0.9818
Australian Labor Party
+851
429,583 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
+851
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
0
85,243 2.67%
0.1868
Australian Democrats
0
54,593 1.71%
0.1196
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
33,203 1.04%
0.0727
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Group B Independents
0
5,746 0.18%
0.0125
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Socialist Alliance
0
2,554 0.08%
0.0055

Count 12: Margarita WINDISCH (Socialist Alliance) excluded

  • 2,554 (0.08%) votes originally from Socialist Alliance distributed to Group B Independents (Joseph TOSCANO) via preference 4.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
447,823 14.03%
0.9818
Australian Labor Party
0
429,583 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
0
85,243 2.67%
0.1868
Australian Democrats
0
54,593 1.71%
0.1196
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
33,203 1.04%
0.0727
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Group B Independents
+2,554
8,300 0.26%
0.0181
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Senator On-Line
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069

Count 13: Glenn R SARGENT (Senator On-Line) excluded

  • 3,192 (0.10%) votes originally from Senator On-Line distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
447,823 14.03%
0.9818
Australian Labor Party
0
429,583 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
0
85,243 2.67%
0.1868
Australian Democrats
+3,192
57,785 1.81%
0.1266
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
33,203 1.04%
0.0727
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Group B Independents
0
8,300 0.26%
0.0181
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069
Liberal Democrats (LDP)
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069

Count 14: Ross CURRIE (Liberal Democrats (LDP)) excluded

  • 3,192 (0.10%) votes originally from Liberal Democrats (LDP) distributed to Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia (John MADIGAN) via preference 10.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
447,823 14.03%
0.9818
Australian Labor Party
0
429,583 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
0
85,243 2.67%
0.1868
Australian Democrats
0
57,785 1.81%
0.1266
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
+3,192
36,395 1.14%
0.0797
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Group B Independents
0
8,300 0.26%
0.0181
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083
Group U Independents
0
3,192 0.10%
0.0069

Count 15: Stephen MAYNE (Group U Independents) excluded

  • 1,596 (0.05%) votes originally from Group U Independents (Ticket 1 of 2) distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 3.
  • 1,596 (0.05%) votes originally from Group U Independents (Ticket 2 of 2) distributed to Australian Greens (Richard DI NATALE) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
+1,596
449,419 14.08%
0.9853
Australian Labor Party
0
429,583 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
+1,596
86,839 2.72%
0.1903
Australian Democrats
0
57,785 1.81%
0.1266
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
36,395 1.14%
0.0797
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Group B Independents
0
8,300 0.26%
0.0181
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153
Carers Alliance
0
3,830 0.12%
0.0083

Count 16: Christopher MONTEAGLE (Carers Alliance) excluded

  • 1,915 (0.06%) votes originally from Carers Alliance (Ticket 1 of 2) distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 5.
  • 1,915 (0.06%) votes originally from Carers Alliance (Ticket 2 of 2) distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 5.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
449,419 14.08%
0.9853
Australian Labor Party
0
429,583 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
0
86,839 2.72%
0.1903
Australian Democrats
+3,830
61,615 1.93%
0.1350
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
36,395 1.14%
0.0797
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Group B Independents
0
8,300 0.26%
0.0181
Christian Democratic Party
0
7,023 0.22%
0.0153

Count 17: Vickie JANSON (Christian Democratic Party) excluded

  • 7,023 (0.22%) votes originally from Christian Democratic Party distributed to Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia (John MADIGAN) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
0
449,419 14.08%
0.9853
Australian Labor Party
0
429,583 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
0
86,839 2.72%
0.1903
Australian Democrats
0
61,615 1.93%
0.1350
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
+7,023
43,418 1.36%
0.0951
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293
Group B Independents
0
8,300 0.26%
0.0181

Count 18: Joseph TOSCANO (Group B Independents) excluded

  • 5,746 (0.18%) votes originally from Group B Independents distributed to Australian Greens (Richard DI NATALE) via preference 4.
  • 2,554 (0.08%) votes originally from Socialist Alliance distributed to Australian Greens (Richard DI NATALE) via preference 7.
  • Richard DI NATALE (Australian Greens) provisionally elected.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Greens
+8,300
457,719 14.34%
1.0035
Australian Labor Party
0
429,583 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
0
86,839 2.72%
0.1903
Australian Democrats
0
61,615 1.93%
0.1350
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
43,418 1.36%
0.0951
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293

Count 19: Richard DI NATALE (Australian Greens) elected #5

  • 1,586 (0.05%) votes (446,972 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Australian Greens distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 7.
  • 3 (0.00%) votes (851 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Socialist Equality Party (Ticket 2 of 3) distributed to Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia (John MADIGAN) via preference 11.
  • 6 (0.00%) votes (1,596 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Group U Independents (Ticket 2 of 2) distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 9.
  • 20 (0.00%) votes (5,746 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Group B Independents distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 25.
  • 9 (0.00%) votes (2,554 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Socialist Alliance distributed to Australian Labor Party (Antony THOW) via preference 18.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
+9
429,592 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
+6
86,845 2.72%
0.1904
Australian Democrats
+1,606
63,221 1.98%
0.1386
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
+3
43,421 1.36%
0.0952
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468
One Nation
0
13,409 0.42%
0.0293

Count 20: Rosalyn TOWNSEND (One Nation) excluded

  • 13,409 (0.42%) votes originally from One Nation distributed to Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia (John MADIGAN) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
0
429,592 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
254,305 7.97%
0.5575
Family First
0
86,845 2.72%
0.1904
Australian Democrats
0
63,221 1.98%
0.1386
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
+13,409
56,830 1.78%
0.1246
Shooters and Fishers
0
21,390 0.67%
0.0468

Count 21: Peter Maxwell KELLY (Shooters and Fishers) excluded

  • 21,390 (0.67%) votes originally from Shooters and Fishers distributed to Liberal/National (Julian McGAURAN) via preference 3.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
0
429,592 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
+21,390
275,695 8.64%
0.6044
Family First
0
86,845 2.72%
0.1904
Australian Democrats
0
63,221 1.98%
0.1386
Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia
0
56,830 1.78%
0.1246

Count 22: John MADIGAN (Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia) excluded

  • 32,884 (1.03%) votes originally from Democratic Labor Party (DLP) of Australia distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 12.
  • 319 (0.01%) votes originally from Building Australia distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 7.
  • 3,192 (0.10%) votes originally from Liberal Democrats (LDP) distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 28.
  • 7,023 (0.22%) votes originally from Christian Democratic Party distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 6.
  • 13,409 (0.42%) votes originally from One Nation distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 19.
  • 3 (0.00%) votes (851 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Socialist Equality Party (Ticket 2 of 3) distributed to Australian Democrats (Roger HOWE) via preference 14.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
0
429,592 13.46%
0.9418
Liberal/National
0
275,695 8.64%
0.6044
Family First
+53,316
140,161 4.39%
0.3073
Australian Democrats
+3,514
66,735 2.09%
0.1463

Count 23: Roger HOWE (Australian Democrats) excluded

  • 52,678 (1.65%) votes originally from Australian Democrats distributed to Australian Labor Party (Antony THOW) via preference 18.
  • 319 (0.01%) votes originally from Secular Party of Australia distributed to Australian Labor Party (Antony THOW) via preference 20.
  • 1,596 (0.05%) votes originally from Australian Sex Party distributed to Australian Labor Party (Antony THOW) via preference 23.
  • 3,192 (0.10%) votes originally from Senator On-Line distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 15.
  • 1,915 (0.06%) votes originally from Carers Alliance (Ticket 1 of 2) distributed to Australian Labor Party (Antony THOW) via preference 11.
  • 1,915 (0.06%) votes originally from Carers Alliance (Ticket 2 of 2) distributed to Liberal/National (Julian McGAURAN) via preference 11.
  • 319 (0.01%) votes originally from Building Australia distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 16.
  • 3,192 (0.10%) votes originally from Liberal Democrats (LDP) distributed to Family First (Steven FIELDING) via preference 34.
  • Antony THOW (Australian Labor Party) provisionally elected.
  • 1,586 (0.05%) votes (446,972 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Australian Greens distributed to Liberal/National (Julian McGAURAN) via preference 31.
  • 20 (0.00%) votes (5,746 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Group B Independents distributed to Liberal/National (Julian McGAURAN) via preference 50.
  • 3 (0.00%) votes (851 raw votes at 0.0035 value) originally from Socialist Equality Party (Ticket 2 of 3) distributed to Liberal/National (Julian McGAURAN) via preference 34.
Party
Transfer
Total Votes % Votes
Quotas
Australian Labor Party
+56,508
486,100 15.23%
1.0657
Liberal/National
+3,524
279,219 8.75%
0.6121
Family First
+6,703
146,864 4.60%
0.3220

Count 24: Antony THOW (Australian Labor Party) elected #6

  • The last vacancy has been filled.

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